Why Bitcoin's Brainchildren Face Vastly Different Fates

2022-08-25
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Facebook stunned the world last October when it rebranded itself as "Meta." With the name change, the social media behemoth that helped shape the internet over the past two decades seemed to have made the decision to ride the hype of the metaverse boom that almost hijacked the latest cryptocurrency bull run.

And Meta wasn't the only one. Microsoft announced it would adapt its signature software products into its own corporate version of the Metaverse shortly after, as hundreds of crypto projects attached themselves to the new buzzword, adding related words such as NFTs, AR, and VR to their messaging. By the end of 2021, real estate sales in the Metaverse topped $500 million. For entrepreneurs less acquainted with the concept: yes, that means people spent millions of real U.S. dollars on clubs, nightlife venues and stadiums that only exist virtually.

Another lesser-known fact? Most companies building products centered around the Metaverse — a more fully immersive internet involving virtual and augmented reality — use blockchain as a major component. Metaverse developers incorporate key crypto-industry features, such as NFTs (non-fungible tokens) and utility tokens, to power their ecosystems.

Related: The New Wave of Web 3.0 Metaverse Innovations

To some degree, the intertwining of crypto and Metaverse makes total sense. If you're creating a virtual space in which people can experience real-world events with other real people, such as live music shows and even wedding proposals, you're going to need a digital-native currency to power that world's economy. On the other hand, the association with and reliance on crypto made such startups vulnerable to the dramatic volatility of the crypto industry.

As such, they were just as affected by the crash that sent the crypto industry into a bear market in May, catalyzed by the collapse of Terra (LUNA) from $120 to 2 cents — a 99.9-percent correction — that sent shockwaves through the market. The Metaverse sub-sector of the broader crypto industry was probably hit harder than the DeFi industry (decentralized finance), of which LUNA seemed almost integral.

Just as the value of real, tangible properties skyrocketed nearly 19 percent over the last year, the average price per parcel of virtual lands across the six major Ethereum Metaverse projects dropped 85 percent in August. The agreed-upon reason for the price plunge might be waning interest. Still, there's a macro-level trend to be aware of: Very shortly, it's reasonable to predict that Metaverse land prices won't recover for months or even years. Not until the next bull run drives hype around it again.

Both the Metaverse and DeFi can be considered two very different brainchildren of Bitcoin, the first-ever cryptocurrency and application of blockchain technology. Yet each will fare quite differently in this bear market. Unlike the NFTs that made up the backbone of the blockchain Metaverse industry, of which a massive swath was proven to be scams, the institutional demand for DeFi exposure remains strong.

Related: How NFTs Could Change Real Estate

In June, JP Morgan Chase's blockchain unit announced plans to bring trillions of dollars of tokenized assets into DeFi, also initiating "Project Guardian," which trials institutionally compatible DeFi via liquidity pools, constituting tokenized deposits and bonds. A month before that, Wall Street giant Jane Street entered into a loan agreement with BlockTower Capital to borrow $25 million, with plans to scale it to $50 million.

But why do institutions retain an interest in DeFi while Metaverse projects and NFTs tank? Surely there are plenty of scams in DeFi, too.

It all goes back to real-world usability. While partying in a virtual world with an NFT avatar might sound like fun, people have proven to prefer the real, tangible world over any Metaverse experiences. The demand isn't there yet, which might be because Metaverse projects need to build a better bridge between the real and virtual worlds. Until people prefer to spend time in Decentraland, they will travel to New York City and party in Brooklyn — especially now that pandemic-era restrictions are gone.

Conversely, DeFi platforms are offering investors ways to spend the yields they earn via staking on physical commodities. Take EQIFi, a regulated DeFi platform backed by EQIBank. The platform gives users various financial services, including a yield aggregator, loans and deposits. In early August, EQIFi partnered with crypto-to-retail bridge Shopping.io, which will let holders of its EQX token spend tokens they've staked on real-world goods at top retailers like Amazon and Walmart.

Related: 4 Ways DeFi Can Generate Passive Income

In that sense, DeFi is starting to find ways to fulfill Bitcoin's original promise to empower the little guy to make money through decentralized protocols. It is also following through by letting him spend that money at places that matter.

As DeFi continues to open access to and expand on traditional investment vehicles, cross-chain launchpads such as Synapse Network, which jumpstarts businesses with customizable offerings ranging from anti-bot solutions to tokenomic models, will help them scale. In turn, the rate at which DeFi as an industry matures and changes everything we know about finance will accelerate.

That's not to say the Metaverse won't rise again or that blockchain won't play a significant role. With major players like Meta and Microsoft actively bringing their visions to fruition, it's almost inevitable that smaller innovators will reenter the game. The Metaverse as a use case of blockchain and NFTs is much younger than the more traditional financial applications. In the Bitcoin family, as in most families, the older child paves the way for the other siblings.

Related: The Blockchain Is Everywhere: Here's How to Understand It

参考译文
为什么比特币的孩子们面临截然不同的命运
去年10月,Facebook将自己重新命名为Meta,震惊了世界。随着名字的改变,这家在过去20年帮助塑造互联网的社交媒体巨头似乎已经决定利用元宇宙热潮的炒作,这种热潮几乎劫持了最新的加密货币牛市。Meta并不是唯一的一个。微软宣布,不久之后,它将把自己的标志性软件产品调整为自己的企业版Metaverse,因为数百个加密项目将自己与这个新的流行词绑定在一起,将NFTs、AR和VR等相关词汇添加到他们的消息中。到2021年底,Metaverse的房地产销售额超过了5亿美元。对于不太了解这个概念的企业家来说:是的,这意味着人们在虚拟存在的俱乐部、夜生活场所和体育场上花费了数百万美元。另一个鲜为人知的事实?大多数公司以Metaverse(一个涉及虚拟和增强现实的更全面的沉浸式互联网)为中心构建产品,使用区块链作为主要组件。Metaverse开发人员结合了加密行业的关键特性,如nft(不可替代的代币)和实用代币,以推动他们的生态系统。相关内容:Web 3.0元世界创新的新浪潮在某种程度上,加密和元世界的交织是完全有意义的。如果你重新创建了一个虚拟空间,人们可以在其中与其他真人一起体验现实世界的事件,比如现场音乐表演,甚至是婚礼求婚,你将需要一种数字原生货币来推动世界经济。另一方面,与加密技术的联系和依赖使得这些初创公司很容易受到加密行业剧烈波动的影响。因此,他们同样受到了5月份导致加密行业进入熊市的股灾的影响,这是由Terra (LUNA)从120美元暴跌至2美分(99.9%的修正)引发的,这给市场带来了冲击。更广泛的加密行业的Metaverse子行业可能比DeFi行业(去中心化金融)受到的打击更严重,而LUNA似乎几乎是DeFi行业的一个组成部分。就像去年真实的有形资产的价值飙升了近19%一样,8月份,6个主要以太坊Metaverse项目的每一块虚拟土地的平均价格下降了85%。人们一致认为价格暴跌的原因可能是兴趣的减弱。尽管如此,仍有一个宏观层面的趋势需要注意:很快,可以合理预测Metaverse的土地价格在数月甚至数年内不会回升。直到下一次牛市再次掀起热潮。Metaverse和DeFi都可以被认为是比特币的两个截然不同的产物,比特币是第一种加密货币,也是区块链技术的应用。然而,它们在本轮熊市中的表现将大不相同。与构成区块链Metaverse行业骨干的nft(其中大量被证明是骗局)不同,机构对DeFi敞口的需求仍然强劲。相关:NFTs如何改变房地产今年6月,摩根大通(JP Morgan chase)的区块链部门宣布了将数万亿美元的代币化资产引入DeFi的计划,同时启动了"它通过流动性池(由代币化存款和债券组成)来试验制度上兼容的DeFi。在此之前一个月,华尔街巨头Jane Street与BlockTower Capital签订了一项贷款协议,拟借2500万美元,并计划将规模扩大至5000万美元。但是,为什么机构对DeFi保持兴趣,而Metaverse项目和NFTs却停滞不前呢?当然,DeFi也有很多骗局。 这一切都回到了现实世界的可用性。虽然在虚拟世界中与NFT角色一起聚会听起来很有趣,但事实证明,比起任何Metaverse体验,人们更喜欢真实的有形世界。需求还没有出现,这可能是因为Metaverse项目需要在真实世界和虚拟世界之间建立一个更好的桥梁。除非人们更愿意花时间在分散式土地上,否则他们会去纽约市,在布鲁克林聚会——特别是在大流行时代的限制已经取消的情况下。相反,DeFi平台为投资者提供了投资实物大宗商品赚取收益的途径。以EQIFi为例,EQIFi是EQIBank支持的一个受监管的DeFi平台。该平台为用户提供各种金融服务,包括收益聚合、贷款和存款。8月初,EQIFi与加密到零售的桥梁Shopping合作。io,它将允许EQX代币的持有者在亚马逊和沃尔玛等顶级零售商的真实商品上花费他们押注的代币。从这个意义上说,DeFi正开始寻找方法来实现比特币最初的承诺,即通过去中心化协议让小家伙们赚钱。它还让他把这笔钱花在重要的地方。随着DeFi继续开放传统投资工具并进行扩张,Synapse Network等跨链平台将帮助它们扩大规模,Synapse Network通过提供从反机器人解决方案到代币经济学模型等可定制产品来启动企业。反过来,DeFi作为一个行业成熟并改变我们对金融的一切的速度将加快。这并不是说Metaverse不会再次崛起,也不是说区块链不会发挥重要作用。随着Meta和微软等主要参与者积极实现他们的愿景,较小的创新者几乎不可避免地会重新进入游戏。作为区块链和NFTs的用例,Metaverse比更传统的金融应用程序要年轻得多。与大多数家庭一样,在比特币家庭中,年长的孩子为其他兄弟姐妹铺路。相关内容:区块链无处不在:Here's如何理解它
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